Progressive knockout12/19/2023 ![]() Either way, their decision is a close one now. Maybe the CO folds a lot to 3-bets, or maybe the BTN is just the sort of guy to attack a lot with the big stack. Let’s say that BU’s hand was actually 6 ♣ 4 ♣ – a somewhat cheeky 3-bet bluff. The BTN needs 31% equity to break even in chips. In order to break even in chips, they need to win (amount to call)/(amount to call + total pot) % of the time. Now BTN has a classic end of action spot decision. The CO checks to the aggressor and the BTN bets 8000. ![]() We are already approaching a situation where all-ins are looming on the horizon. The pot is 16,000 including dead antes and blinds and the effective stack is now 29,000. ![]() Player A calls the 3-bet and the flop comes Q ♦ 5 ♥ 3 ♠. Perhaps the best way to see how bounties affect-decision making is to start off by analysing a hand in a non-bounty tournament. Now let’s cover how a big bounty – either on your own head or that of your opponent – can make a big difference to the math of many a decision.
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